As the 2025 college football season approaches, the Southeastern Conference (SEC) remains the epicenter of gridiron excitement. Their powerhouse programs and the emerging contenders are vying for supremacy, not just in their conference but in college football overall. The
Sports Gambling Podcast Network (SGPN), alongside other expert analysts, has provided in-depth breakdowns of the SEC’s 2025 outlook, offering valuable insights into future bets and win totals. Drawing from
SGPN’s SEC College Football 2025 Betting Preview Part One (Ep. 2297) and
Part Two (Ep. 2298), as well as other sources like
BetMGM,
CBS Sports, and posts on X (formerly Twitter), this article highlights the best SEC future bets and win total predictions for the upcoming season.
SEC Win Totals Overview
The SEC is stacked with talent, and sportsbooks have set win total lines reflecting the conference’s depth. According to
CircaSports and
FanDuel Sportsbook, the top-tier teams—Alabama, Georgia, and Texas—are projected at 9.5 wins, while others like LSU, Ole Miss, and Tennessee hover around 8.5. Lower-tier teams like Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Mississippi State have more modest projections, ranging from 3.5 to 5.5 wins. These lines provide a foundation for bettors to identify value in the futures market.
SGPN hosts Sean Green and Ryan Kramer, joined by college football expert Colby Dant from The College Football Experience, have dissected these win totals, offering their favorite bets. Other analysts, such as Jimmie Kaylor from CBS Sports and contributors from BetMGM, and my personal favorite, Matt Perrault and Dave Sharapan from
Bostonian vs the Book, provide additional perspectives to guide bettors. Below, we dive into their top picks, focusing on win totals and other futures bets like conference championship odds. Please remember this is for entertainment purposes only, and for us to start our discussions.
Top Win Total Bets for SEC Teams
Texas Longhorns: Over 9.5 Wins (-190)
The Texas Longhorns are coming off a 13-win season in 2024. They are a popular pick for 2025. With redshirt sophomore Arch Manning taking over as the starting quarterback, expectations are sky-high. We are going to be watching out for Manning’s dual-threat ability as a game-changer for the Longhorns’ offense. Jimmie Kaylor from CBS Sports backs Texas to exceed 9.5 wins, citing their top-tier ranking and manageable schedule.
Texas faces tough road games, but transfers at key positions bolster a reloaded roster. This makes the over a strong play. The -190 odds reflect heavy juice, but analysts agree the Longhorns have the talent to push for 10 or 11 wins. Kaylor notes, “The Longhorns are +500 to win the College Football Playoff National Championship, and Manning’s Heisman candidacy adds another layer of upside.”
Betting Recommendation
Take Texas Over 9.5 Wins (-190) for a confident play on a team with championship aspirations.
Georgia Bulldogs: Over 9.5 Wins (-168)
Georgia, alongside Texas, is tied for the highest SEC win total at 9.5. SGPN’s preview emphasizes the Bulldogs’ consistency under Kirby Smart, with 16 returning starters, including Heisman favorite Carson Beck. A post on X by @JoeyBagOBets locks in Georgia Over 9.5 at -168, citing their favorable schedule and elite defense led by Malaki Starks.
Despite a challenging SEC slate, Georgia’s depth and coaching make them a safe bet to hit double-digit wins. BetMGM’s Chase Kiddy notes that Georgia’s +550 odds to win the national championship reflect their status as a juggernaut, supporting the case for the over.
Betting Recommendation
Lock in Georgia Over 9.5 Wins (-168) for a reliable bet on a perennial contender.
Alabama Crimson Tide: Under 9.5 Wins (-115)
Alabama’s win total is set at 9.5, but analysts are cautious due to the departure of quarterback Jalen Milroe. SGPN’s Colby Dant points out potential growing pains on offense under second-year head coach Kalen DeBoer. Kaylor agrees, projecting Alabama for eight or nine wins if the offense struggles early, despite their NFL-caliber talent.
A post on X by @EJ_CFB predicts Alabama at 11-1, but this seems optimistic given the quarterback transition. The under at -115 offers value, especially with a tough schedule that includes road games against LSU and Oklahoma. BetMGM’s odds also suggest Alabama’s ceiling might be capped at nine wins.
Betting Recommendation
Bet Alabama Under 9.5 Wins (-115) for a value play on a team facing offensive uncertainty.
Vanderbilt Commodores: Over 4.5 Wins (-188)
Vanderbilt, often an SEC underdog, is a surprising favorite for the over in 2025. We are going to highlight the Commodores being an underdog story. They have a manageable schedule and improvements under Coach Clark Lea. A post on X by @JoeyBagOBets strongly backs Vanderbilt Over 4.5 at -188, noting their ability to steal wins against teams like Arkansas and Kentucky.
With a win total line of 5.5 at some sportsbooks, the 4.5 over is a safer bet for those looking to capitalize on Vanderbilt’s upward trajectory.
Betting Recommendation
Take Vanderbilt Over 4.5 Wins (-188) for a sneaky value bet on an improving team.
Auburn Tigers: Under 7.5 Wins (+135)
Auburn’s win total is set at 8 at some sportsbooks, but CircaSports lists it at 7.5, making the under an attractive option. SGPN’s analysis suggests Auburn could struggle in a competitive SEC. They have a tough schedule and questions at key positions. @JoeyBagOBets on X recommends Auburn Under 7.5 at +135, citing their inconsistency and lack of elite talent compared to top SEC teams.
While @EJ_CFB predicts a 9-3 season for Auburn, this seems overly optimistic given their 2024 performance and roster challenges. The under offers plus-money value for a team likely to hover around seven wins.
Betting Recommendation
Bet Auburn Under 7.5 Wins (+135) for a high-value contrarian play.
SEC Championship Futures Bets
Beyond win totals, analysts have identified value in SEC Championship futures. FanDuel lists Texas and Georgia as co-favorites at +280, followed by Alabama (+500), LSU (+700), and Texas A&M (+1500). SGPN’s hosts lean toward Texas at +280, given their offensive firepower and Manning’s potential to elevate the team.
However, Geoff Schwartz from FOX Sports makes a compelling case for Alabama at +700, noting Kalen DeBoer’s track record of immediate success at every coaching stop. DeBoer’s ability to retain talent and navigate a favorable schedule could position Alabama for an SEC title game appearance, making the +700 odds a long shot worth considering.
Betting Recommendation
Sprinkle on Alabama to Win the SEC (+700) for a high-upside futures bet.
Other Notable Futures
Heisman Trophy and Playoff Contenders
Analysts also highlight individual and playoff futures. Arch Manning (+700) and Carson Beck (+750) are among the top Heisman Trophy candidates. Manning’s dual-threat ability could make him a standout, especially if Texas exceeds 9.5 wins.
For playoff contenders, VSiN’s Tim Murray and Brad Crawford suggest Navy as a long-shot at +10000, but within the SEC, Texas (+500) and Georgia (+550) are the safest bets to reach the College Football Playoff. LSU (+700) is another dark horse, with SGPN pointing to their potent offense led by Garrett Nussmeier.
Betting Recommendation
Consider Arch Manning for Heisman (+700) and LSU to Make the Playoff (+700) for speculative bets with strong upside.
Final Thoughts
The 2025 SEC College Football season promises intense competition. The futures market offers plenty of opportunities for bettors. SGPN’s detailed previews, combined with insights from BetMGM, CBS Sports, and X posts, point to Texas and Georgia as safe over bets, while Alabama and Auburn offer value on the under. Vanderbilt’s potential for an upset season makes their over 4.5 wins a sneaky play, and Alabama’s +700 odds to win the SEC are a tempting long-shot.
As always, bet responsibly and consider limiting futures bets to a small portion of your bankroll. For the latest odds and updates, check trusted sportsbooks like BetMGM, FanDuel, or CircaSports.
Disclaimer: Odds and projections are subject to change. Always verify current odds with your preferred sportsbook. If you have a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER for support.
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